Wednesday 27 January 2016

WBRC VISIT TO THE STABLES OF BEN PAULINGS YARD



Thursday evening saw a Cheltenham preview meeting, held by the West Berkshire racing Club at Newbury racecourses Long room found in the main stand.
Jockeys David Bass, and Brendan Powell jnr, Assistant trainer to Alan king Dan Horsford and David Williams watching the betting market from Ladbrokes, were all kept in check by Lee McKenzie, columnist and commentator. And in check they had to be as in some cases it got quite lively.....
In my blog I’m going to share TWO races each day with you. A banker and an each way fancy.
With Cheltenham less than a week away, this weekend is the night before Christmas day for some.

A deluge of rain in the West of the country claiming some meetings well in advance has classed the going as soft. Though the Prestbury course drains well if we have no more of the wet stuff, the going I should reckon would be Good – good/soft on the opening day, going to Good for the climax of the meeting on the Friday.
 And NO, I do not mean Victoria Pendleton’s ride in the Foxhunters.

The first day, Champions day. Two races I would want to look at.

The Racing Post Arkle Chase over the two miles.
                           DOUVAN

Looks the banker of this race. And is the horse all have to beat. 
The winner of last year’s Supreme Novices hurdle is said to be the best horse out of the Mullins yard,and that is praise indeed from a yard with many a talented superstar and up and coming.

Who can beat the six year old by Walk in the park, and like his sires name sake looks like all he’ll have to do is ‘Walk in the park.....Prestbury Park.’ To claim the converted grade one prize.

Who could run a close second? 
Well my thought would be the horse that was fourteen lengths behind in second to the banker Douvan at Leopardstown at the back end of 2015.
SIZING JOHN
The harry De Bromhead charge who would not want any more rain, would possibly of relished more good ground than good to soft. But as the days go on with dry weather, who knows what will be.
 Well worth a gamble if you were going against the favourite.

The Champion Hurdle.

Old news know that Faugheen is a non starter, but  the sudden placement of Annie Power, the Mullins horse that enough has been said about her mishap at last season’s festival, would be the horse that a lot will look at to take the most open of Champion hurdle’s in years.
In my view.

ANNIE POWER

Though many will say she has to prove, I feel the Mullins team would want to prove that the eight year old chestnut mare by Shirocco is top quality. With Ruby Walsh on board demons will be looked at to be beaten into submission.

LIL ROCKERFELLA

Might be a good e/w bet. A winner at Fontwell in the graded National Spirit Hurdle at in heavy ground. The Neil King charge, will be fit and in form, and enough time has gone past since his last run to send him on again.

Day two.

Alan King sends out
YANWORTH

In the Neptune investment novices Hurdle over two mile five furlongs. A horse well liked by panelist Dan Horsford, assistant to King.
 Fourth in last season Champion Bumper at the festival, this six year old by Norse Dancer already a winner on Cheltenham trials day in Heavy ground over course and distance looks to be one that has improved and wanting to climb on to the next shelf of progression.

For once, the Irish will have to settle for second. My each way selection would be the Willie Mullins horse.
BELLSHILL

The six year old by Kings Theater horse goes well in the softer ground, and if the Irish invaders do well on the opening day, may be one to put in an English upset.

The Queen mother Champion chase.

UN DE SCEAUX
The seven year old by Denham Red, and top novice chaser last season looks like only his jumping would let him down. David Williams from Ladbrokes mentioned that anti post prices were very short, and if backing this one, look at the market the morning of the race to get the best price.
Un De Sceaux

SOMMERSBY
Is the e/w fancy. 
The Mick Channon horse, a horse most of the time in the frame, could be again. A big outsider could be worth a small punt.

Day Three

This day could break up in runners. A lot of trainers having horses in races on this day and in other key races will wait and see
 where, what and when the competition goes for before showing their hands.
It's also St Patrick's day - sona lá st Pádraig

The JLT novices Chase

BRISTOL DE MAI
Looks the favourite choice. The five year old grey would want the soft ground, and though we may get the ground good by the third day, it would be on the softer side, and would be a good English win for a meeting that looks that it could be dominated by those from the Emerald Isle.

ZABANA

The Andrew Lynch charge would be well worth a big priced e/w bet. Second in the Coral cup at the festival last year the seven year old will be a good price. 
Has had an up and down career since his second at the festival, but could chase up in a placed spot, as some may not get the trip around the Cheltenham two and a half miles. But check the going before, if it is fast, best leave your euros in the pocket.

The Ryanair Wold hurdle.

THISTLECRACK

Defiantly goes in the race. 
The Colin Tizzard eight year old looks to back up his win in the Cleeve hurdle on trails day at Cheltenham. The horse still a big baby in a way has been lightly raced and is a fancied Gold cup contender next season for the yard.

COLE HARDEN
Would run the Tizzard horse close to the post though. Warren Greatrex the trainer would like the better ground to get this one into the winners enclosure. But this winner of the race last season would be a good enough price to go for an E/W gamble.

Day four, Gold Cup day.

This race, i feel will go to Ireland and it would be advisable to go with the Mullins/ Walsh team. Whatever Ruby chooses to sit on would be a good winning gamble.
Ruby Walsh

I would side with
DJAKADAM
Falling at the trail race at the tenth, the race won by Smad Place in January the Saints Des Saints seven year old would be one to take this very open Gold cup.
Smad Place









SMAD PLACE

A confirmed front runner by the Alan King Assistant on the panel would be a good e/w gamble, at a good price.










The Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

BARTERS HILL

Would be the nap for this race. Trainer Ben Pauling has trained and worked this horse for this specific race. 
His jockey and panelist David Bass mentioned this horse stays very well and the ground will suit this horse to the tea. A good rule to thumb would be to watch and see how Yanworth runs in the Neptune investments novice Hurdle, as David Bass is sure that his horse Barters Hill would beat the fancied Yanworth if they both ran in the Neptune, obviously Dan Horsford would disagree. But if Yanworth wins that race this six year old by Kalanisi would be a sure likable fancy.
Barters Hill
The Neil Mulholland trained Shantou Village would be a good e/w chance and is my fancy

Shantou Village
Possibly the best novice horse the trainer has had, the six year old by Shantou was second on heavy ground to Yanworth. 
This horse also has entries in the Neptune Investments novices hurdle, and would be a serious E/W contender in any of the races he goes for, but i feel this race would have his more serious chance.

MAJYPHOTOGRAPHY is at Cheltenham for the opening day only and is bringing a photograph blog of the day. All the thrills, not too many spills. The fun and frolics so loom out  for the Tweet.